Iran’s neighbours worry about fallout from US and Israeli attacks
Increased tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran have left neighbouring countries deeply concerned about regional stability. Fears include potential retaliation, refugee crises, and threats to vital infrastructure. Experts and officials warn that destabilising Iran could have far-reaching consequences for countries like Turkey, Pakistan, Azerbaijan, and Armenia. Oil-producing Gulf states are also anxious about the economic impact of possible disruptions.
What we know
- In June 2025, Iran attacked the American Al-Udeid base in Qatar in response to US air strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities during a 12-day war triggered by an Israeli attack.
- In January of this year, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and Oman urged US President Donald Trump’s administration to postpone strikes in response to Iran’s crackdown on protests.
- Pierre Razoux highlighted Gulf states’ vulnerability to Iranian missile strikes on critical infrastructure.
- Gonul Tol noted Turkey’s fears of border chaos, increased refugees, and more activity from PKK-linked groups, which led an insurgency from 1984 until 2025.
- Oil experts warn that a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz could cause a liquidity crisis for Gulf states and disrupt global oil supplies.
